Dr David Bonilla
  • Honorary Research Associate


David Bonilla is a Honorary research associate at the TSU, University of Oxford. He is also a Research professor at the Institute of Economic Research, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico (UNAM) based in Mexico City. He did his first degree (economics) at London Guildhall University, London, UK, his MSc (in Economics) at Queen Mary College, University of London, (supervisor: Prof. V. Bulmer-Thomas) and his PhD (Japan's energy policy) at Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology. Previous academic posts include University of Oxford, Transport Studies Unit, Cambridge University (Faculty of Economics; Department of Land Economy) and The Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology, the Japan Institute of Energy Economics in Tokyo. In the past he was also awarded Junior Research Fellowship at St Anne's College, Oxford University. David is interested in the interaction of several disciplines: economics, engineering and political issues affecting energy and environment. He is particularly interested in developing methodology for energy scenarios, transport scenarios, forecasting and scenario analysis of energy technologies (vehicle and freight markets) as well as on energy policy assessment and design. David has been involved in the Oxford Scenarios Program at Saïd Business School(reviewer and participant). Along with Prof David Banister, David co-organised in 2012 the UTSG Annual Conference in Transport held at Oxford, one of the largest transport research hubs in the UK.

In the past he has won competitive fellowships from the European Commission and from the Japanese Government to carry out studies in energy and environment.


Dr Bonilla's current research includes: urban freight transport and resource limits, the effectiveness of carbon taxes, air quality and fuel economy standards as well as rational energy policy for transport.

In the past he has researched 1) the Adoption of Bio-fuels in UK transport; market analysis of New Car Fuel Economy Models (Japan, UK); 2) the demand for Freight transport; Gasoline Demand Forecasting (Japan/ UK); Demand for Alternative Fuels/ Vehicle; and Modelling technological change affecting energy supply and demand.

His research interests include: energy policy for Transport (energy demand models); demand for alternative fuel vehicles; distributed generation and low CO2 technologies; Asia pacific energy issues; EU energy policy; and global climate change policy.

In the past he was attached to the Oxford Martin School as a Fellow: 2008-2015.

Recent research projects

  • Oxford Martin Programme for Resource Stewardship (OMPORS) (2012-15)
    Project funded by the Oxford Martin School at Oxford University. David led the work on energy economics, climate mitigation policy and heterodox macroeconomics. David Bonilla was the principal investigator of the workstream "resource economics". He was instrumental in project origination, proposal writing and has collaborated with the Oxford Martin School in several fields.
  • Research and Development of the European Transport Network Model
    Transtools Version 3. Transtools III (7th RTD Framework Programme) (Danish Technical University, 2011- 2015) Prof. David Banister and Dr David Bonilla. David Bonilla managed the Work Package (The cross-cutting issues and quality control). The goal of this Project was to improve and develop the existing TRanstools Model to simulate Europe´s transport network and traffic of both the freight and passenger modes.
  • Institute of carbon and energy reduction in transport (ICERT) (2008-2012)
    Project funded by Oxford University, Oxford Martin School. David was the leader of the economic analysis of car markets and of diesel markets in Europe. David collaborated with the Department of Engineering, Oxford University.
  • Logistics and Manufacturing trends and sustainable transport: carbon footprints of products (LOGMAN) (2010-2013)
    Project funded by the European commission DG move-7th Framework Programme. David was the principal investigator at Oxford. (Synthesis and Policy recommendations). Under this project he collaborated with the following : (Transver and University of Munich); (Vienna University of Business and Economics); Progtrans; and the SYKE: Finnish environment Institute. David Bonilla contributed to project's core idea and provided input into the proposal.
  • Vision and Action Plans for European freight transport to 2050 (FREIGHTVISION (2008-11). Grant Agreement no.: 217927.
    David was the leader of work package 7 (Vision and Action Plans). He collaborated with the following partners: (Technical University of Denmark); (Austria tech, Austria); (EGIS, Lyon France), (Finnish Environment Institute); (Progtrans); and with (Vienna University of Business and Economics).
  • The economy wide effects of Air Cargo (2013-2014) Project funded by Chinese Scholarship Council; China's Ministry of Education.
    David has led the econometric model analysis of air cargo demand of China's cities, analysis of historical growth of policy measures affecting airport expansion and regional air cargo trends over time. (Department of International Trade, Hubei University, China).
  • Airline competition in China (2014-2015) Project funded by the Chinese Scholarship Council, China's Ministry of Education.
    David has led the work on data analysis of competition, (Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences).
  • A whole systems approach to analyzing bioenergy demand and supply: mobilizing the long term potential of bioenergy (TSEC BYOSIS) (2007-2009).
    He collaborated with Imperial College of Science and Technology, Center for Energy Policy and Technology. Dr. David Bonilla led the Supply chain analysis, Logistics, GHG of Biomass under theme four of the project.



Journal Articles

Book Chapters

  • Bonilla, D. and Whittaker, C. (2015) The simple logistics of biofuels, sustainability and indirect energy needs. Chapter 8 in, Yan, J. (ed.) Handbook of Clean Energy Systems, Vol. 6 Sustainability of Energy Systems. John Wiley and Sons. pp. 3089-3099. ISBN: 978-1-118-38858-7.
  • Hickman, R., Bonilla, D., Banister, D. and Givoni, M. (2015) The transport and development relationship. Chapter 1 in, Hickman, R., Givoni, M., Bonilla, D. and Banister, D. (eds.) An International Handbook on Transport and Development. Edward Elgar. pp. 3-15. ISBN: 978 0 85793 725 4.
  • Hickman, R., Givoni, M., Bonilla, D. and Banister, D. (2015) New household location and the commute to work: changes over time. Chapter 5 in, Hickman, R. and Banister, D. (eds.) An International Handbook on Transport and Development. Edward Elgar. pp. 77-86.
  • Hickman, R., Givoni, M., Bonilla, D. and Banister, D. (2015) Transport and development – synthesis and next steps? Chapter 45 in, Banister, D., Givoni, M., Bonilla, D. and Hickman, R. (eds.) An International Handbook on Transport and Development. Edward Elgar. pp. 677-688. ISBN: 978 0 85793 725 4.
  • Bonilla, D. (2012) Fuel taxes, fuel economy of vehicles and costs of conserved energy: the case of the European Union. In, Inderwildi, O. and King, D. (eds.) Energy, Transport and the Environment. Springer. pp. 285-302.
  • Bonilla, D. and Akyelken, N. (2011) Vision. In, Helmreich, S. and H. Keller (eds.) FREIGHTVISION - Sustainable European Freight Transport 2050: Forecast, Vision and Policy Recommendation. Springer. pp. 127-134. ISBN: 978-3-642-13370-1.
  • Bonilla, D. (2009) Options for decarbonising and improving energy efficiency in the transport sector. Chapter 12 in, Energy Studies Institute (National University of Singapore) (ed.) Energy Efficiency Policy and Developments in South East Asia and Beyond. Stallion Press, Singapore.
  • Kashiwagi, T., Saha, B.B., Bonilla, D. and Akisawa, A. (1999) Technological and economic potential of greenhouse gas emissions reduction. Chapter 3 in, Climate Change 2001, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Mitigation (IPCC). Contribution of Working Group III to the Third Assessment of the IPCC. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. pp. 219-220.


  • Kritzinger, S., Beullens, P., Limbers, J., Bonilla, D., Navajas-Cawood, E., et al. (2011) Deliverable 2 of LogMan project; Logistics & Manufacturing trends and sustainable transport - Report on external factors. Funded by the European Commission 7th RTD Programme. Basle, Switzerland. pp. 1-235. Basel, Switzerland. See the project website for further details.
  • Akyelken, N., Bauer, G., Beullens, P., Bonilla, D., Helmreich, S., Ibáñez-Rivas, N., Ishizaka, A., Judl, J., König-Hollerwöger, D., Koskela, S., Kramer, H., Mongelli, I., Ries, J., Schmiele, J. and Weiss, L. (2011) Report on: Improved Footprint Analysis, Scenarios, Policies and Assessment. Sept. pp.1-262. Munich Germany. See the project website for further output.
  • Bonilla, D. and Akyelken, N. (2010) Taxation of fossil fuels: an application to freight transport. In Report on Summary IV: Vision and Action plan . Deliverable of the freightvision project. Funded by the European Commission 7th RTD Programme. Vienna, Austria. pp. 49-50. Website.
  • Bonilla, D. and Akyelken, N. (2010) Vision. In Report on Summary IV: Vision and Action plan . Deliverable of the freightvision project. Funded by the European Commission 7th RTD Programme. Vienna, Austria. pp. 56-61. Website.
  • Akyelken, N., Bonilla, D., Schmiele, J., Ries, J., Holma, A., Beullen, P. and Limbers, J. (2010) Internal Report 2.4 of LogMan project; Logistics & Manufacturing trends and sustainable transport. Funded by the European Commission 7th RTD Programme. Basle, Switzerland. pp. 1-103.
  • Bonilla, D. and Akyelken, N. (2010) Internalisation of external costs. In Report (deliverable ) Management summary IV. pp 1-101. Website.
  • Bonilla, D. and Akyelken, N. (2010) taxation of fossil fuels. In Report (contributors) management summary IV. pp.-59. Vienna, Austria. Website.
  • Bonilla, D. and Akyelken N. (2010) Congestion charge. In Report (contributors ) Management Summary IV. pp.-39. Vienna, Austria. Website.

Conference Papers at National International Events

  • Bonilla, D. (2014) Of efficiency, by efficiency for efficiency: Testing the rebound effect for the transport sector in four large economies. Paper presented at the conference "Third annual conference on transport, trade and service studies". November 17-18, Hong Kong. Center for transport, trade and financial studies. City University of Hong Kong. China.
  • Bonilla, D. (2014) Decades of freight transport: Thinking of 2050. Imperial College Business School. Ponencia.
  • Bonilla, D. (2013) Revisiting the resource curse: the case of Latin-America. Arizona State University. Julie Anne Wrigley Global institute of Sustainability Institute. October 2013.
  • Bonilla, D. (2012) "Transport and Behaviour" en taller "the Future of cities". Ponencia presentada en el World Economic Forum, Beijing, Tianjin, China. Invited as a speaker to Annual meeting of the new champions. Summer Davos in Asia. Presentation.
  • Bonilla, D. (2011) The role of diesel for fuel economy in the UK. Articulo presentado en "EU sustainability week: Energy efficiency its contribution to sustainable mobility". Invited talk by the Spanish Transport authorities and REPSOL (Spain's leading oil and gas company) /European Commission. April 14th, 2011, Madrid Spain.
  • Bonilla, D. (2010) Corporate average Fuel Economy for Mexico? Article presented in the workshop: "The Future of Transport and Energy Use" Transport Studies Unit, University of Oxford.
  • Bonilla, D. (2009) Scenarios for the Japanese car market and gasoline demand to 2020: What can UK transport learn from Japan. Paper given at the workshop "Long term scenarios in transport and energy: in Search of new methodologies 29 May 2009, St Anne's College, Oxford in conjunction with the James Martin Institute of Carbon and Energy Reduction in Transport.
  • Bonilla, D. and Salling, K. (2008) Energy consumption and freight transport demand in Denmark. NECTAR (Network on European Communications and Transport Activities Research) cluster conference over the 12th and 13th September, 'Integrated Transport: from policy to practice'. School of Geography and Environment, Oxford University.
  • Bonilla, D. (2008) Demand for new car fuel economy and sustainable transport. Seminar "transportation land use and sustainable development" hosted in collaboration with the Prince's Foundation for the Built Environment and the Californian Institute for Technology Exchange (together with the American Association of State Highways and Transportation Officials and the Federal Highways Administration).
  • Bonilla, D. (2008) Energy Use in Urban Regions. '2008 City Design Roundtable: Secure Energy for Mega-cities' conference, the Institution for Civil Engineers, London; the event was organised by Montreux Energy.
  • Bonilla, D. (2008) Driving for less and new car fuel economy in the UK, US, Japan: 1970-2005. Erasmus University's NECTAR conference. Workshop transition towards sustainable mobility: The role of instruments, individuals and institutions. 15-16th of May, 2008. Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Bonilla, D. (2008) Vehicle sales and Fuel Economy: Evidence from Japan. Universities' Transport Studies Group, 40th Annual UTSG Conference, 3-5th January. Southampton, UK.
  • Bonilla, D. (2008) Challenges in the Transportation Sector. Paper presented at "The Energy Transition: The Global Challenge" conference. Centre Économie et Gestion, École du Pétrole et des Moteurs, Institute Francaise du Petrole, Paris, France.
  • Bonilla, D. and Foxon, T. (2007) New car fuel economy of gasoline and diesel in the UK 1977-2003. Paper presented at the International association of energy economics conference on "Energy markets and sustainability in a larger Europe". Florence, Italy.
  • Bonilla, D. (2006) The demand for gasoline of passenger vehicles in Japan to 2010: a vehicle stock and vehicle efficiency approach. Paper presented at the Int. Association of Energy Economics Conference on "Securing Energy in Insecure Times". June Berlin, Germany.
  • Bonilla, D. (participant) (2005) "Post 2012 Climate Policy: Architectures and Participation Scenarios". Venice, Italy. Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, 20-21 June, 2005. In cooperation with Stanford University and Resources for the Future.
  • Bonilla, D. (2005) Modelling the adoption of cogeneration and manufacturing industry characteristics: The case of the UK and Netherlands. (May). Paper presented at the Judge Business School, Cambridge University.
  • Bonilla, D., Akisawa, A. and Kashiwagi, T. (2004) The rise and fall in cogeneration, electricity price and income in the Japanese and EU manufacturing sectors: an econometric assessment. Presented to the conference Modelling in Energy and policy. 6th International European Conference, Zurich, Zwitzerland, September.
  • Bonilla, D., Akisawa, A. and Kashiwagi, T. (2002) A survey on the performance of, and plant manager satisfaction with, cogeneration plants in the Japanese manufacturing sector. Paper presented to International symposium on distributed generation power systems market aspects, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of electrical engineering, Stockholm Sweden, October 2-4.
  • Bonilla, D. (2002) la Moderna Cogeneracion en Japon. Instituto de Investigaciones Economicas, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico. Mexico City. Seminar organised by the research group of Petroleum and Energy.
  • Bonilla, D., Akisawa, A. and Kashiwagi, T. (2001) The penetration of small-scale cogeneration systems in Japanese Industry: 1985-1998. Paper presented to the Summer Study on Energy Efficiency in industry, Summer Study for an Energy Efficient Economy in Industry, American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy, Tarrytown New York, 24th-27th, July.
  • Bonilla, D., Baran Saha, B., Akisawa, A. and Kashiwagi, T. (2001) Technological breakthrough to prevent global warming: The Japanese paradox. Paper presented to the 12th Global Warming Conference, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
  • Bonilla, D. (Discussant, Reviewer and Rapporteur) Society, Behaviour and Climate Change Mitigation. In, Jochem, E., Sathaye, J., Bouille, D. (Eds.) (2000) Advances in Global Change Research, Vol. 8. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, The Netherlands.
  • Bonilla, D. (1997) Mexico's Energy Situation. Paper given at the Institute of Energy Economics, Asia Pacific Energy Research Center. Tokyo.